Analysis of Craps Strategy
The best strategy for craps is combining Pass Line or Don't Pass with Odds Bet. The craps rules of Microgaming software for Internet casino allow bet on Odds maximum the same to Pass or Don't Pass Line bet size. According to these rules, the basic statistics for strategy are :
|
Pass Line |
Pass Line +Odds |
Don't Pass |
Don't Pass +Odds |
| Win Probability,% |
49.2929 |
49.2929 |
47.9293 |
47.9293 |
| Tie Probability,% |
- |
- |
02.7778 |
02.7778 |
| Loss Probability,% |
50.7071 |
50.7071 |
49.2929 |
49.2929 |
| Average Bet |
1 |
5/3 |
1 |
5/3 |
| Player Edge,units |
-0.0141 |
-0.0141 |
-0.0136 |
-0.0136 |
| Player Edge,% |
-1.4141 |
-0.8485 |
-1.3636 |
-0.8182 |
| Std Deviance,units |
0.9999 |
1.8930 |
0.9859 |
1.5868 |
| Std Deviance,% |
99.9900 |
113.5830 |
98.5919 |
95.2060 |
Indexes for single Pass Line and Don't Pass are in table for comparing with indexes for combined bets.
The next figure shows the distribution of net results after 300 rounds. One round means the game interval from Come Out Roll to roll where bet result is determinated. The initial bet size is 30 units for convenience sake (all payoffs are natural numbers in this case).
Net results distribution after 300 rounds |
|
 |
| |
Don't Pass + Odds |
| |
Pass Line + Odds |
|
The progress of net win probability up to 3000 rounds is showing on the following figure. The values of probability to have a positive game result after 3000 rounds are : 31.87% for Don't Pass+Odds and 34.10% for Pass Line+Odds.
Progress of Net Win Probability |
|
 |
| |
Don't Pass + Odds |
| |
Pass Line + Odds |
|
